Global Stocks Plunge Again And A Former Reagan Administration Official Is Warning Of A “40% Crash”

The following article was originally published by Michael Snyder at The Economic Collapse Blog. (Used by permission)

By Michael Snyder in Nov 2018

Stocks are falling again, and many believe that this new crisis is only just beginning.  After a disappointing end to last week, a lot of investors were hoping for a bounce to start this week, but so far that has not materialized.  As I write this article, all the big markets in Asia are down, and it looks like it is going be be a rough morning for Wall Street.  Of course we probably won’t see too much movement as global markets wait to see what happens on Tuesday, and those results could potentially move things up or down substantially.  Ultimately, I have a feeling that Wall Street will not be too happy if control of Congress is divided, because that would almost certainly mean that very little will get accomplished in Washington for the next two years.  Instead, we will likely see even more bickering and fighting than we are seeing now.

But no matter what happens in the short-term, a lot of experts are convinced that the big market crash that everyone has been waiting for is finally here.

One of those experts is David Stockman.

Stockman is a former member of Congress, and he was the Director of the Office of Management and Budget under President Ronald Reagan.  These days he is a frequent contributor on CNBC, and he recently told the network that there will be “a 40 percent stock market plunge”

David Stockman warns a 40 percent stock market plunge is closing in on Wall Street.

Stockman, who served as President Reagan’s Office of Management and Budget director, has long warned of a deep downturn that would shake Wall Street’s most bullish investors. He believes the early rumblings of that epic downturn is finally here.

Because our financial system is even more leveraged today than it was in 2008, a plunge of that magnitude would be absolutely disastrous.  Virtually everyone would need a “bailout” at that point, and economic activity would decline dramatically as the flow of credit dried up almost completely.

Needless to say, we would find ourselves in a very harsh recession very rapidly, and that is another thing that Stockman is anticipating

We’re going to be in a recession, and we’re going to have another market correction which will be pretty brutal,” Stockman said.

Of course Stockman is far from alone.  Another economic expert that is warning of an imminent crisis is Mish Shedlock

In the last 10 years not a single fundamental economic flaw has been fixed in the US, Europe, Japan, or China. The Fed was behind the curve for years contributing to the bubble. Massive rounds of QE in the US, EU, and Japan created extreme equity and junk bond bubbles. Trump’s tariffs are ill-founded as is Congressional spending wasted on war.

Potential Catalysts

  1. Junk Bond Bubble Bursting
  2. Equity Bubble Bursting
  3. Italy
  4. Tariffs
  5. Brexit
  6. Pensions
  7. Housing
  8. China

Many will blame the Fed. The Fed is surely to blame, but it is prior bubble-blowing policy, not rate hikes now that are the problem.

Shedlock has correctly identified a number of factors that could act as “catalysts” for this crisis.  The truth is that signs of trouble are all around us, and it is only going to take a very small nudge to push us off of a very steep cliff.

Instead of fixing our long-term problems in 2008, our leaders patched up the current system and started reinflating the bubble.

Now we have created the largest financial bubble in all of human history, and the only way to keep it from imploding is to inflate it even more.

On some level, just about everyone knows that this story is going to end badly, and that a horrifying economic downturn is ahead of us.

Just look at what General Motors is doing.  Even though the U.S. economy has supposedly been “doing well”, they just offered a buyout to 18,000 of their employees because they want “to act ahead of the next economic downturn”

And yet, despite its strong position, Automotive News reports that GM plans to offer about 18,000 employees a voluntary buyout. The offer will only be extended to salaried employees who have worked at the company for at least 12 years, and eligible employees have until November 19 to decide whether to accept or not.

But why would GM reduce its workforce when it’s doing so well? With sales in the U.S. and China slowing down, hybrid and electric vehicles growing increasingly popular, and automated driving technology finding its way to more vehicles, GM sees a lot of change on the horizon. It’s also worried about the potential for another recession, and it wants to act ahead of the next economic downturn.

 (READ MORE…)

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